基准点竞买地价+5%竞买地价+0%竞买地价-5%售价+10%售价+0%售价-10%售价-10%售价+0%售价+10%售价-10%售价+0%售价+10%数学期望值净现值净现金流11475.1125866.5348299.8130352.5848299.810.10.40.50.10.40.5概率分析0.10.40.50.20.40.4-2916.8112404.7552345.5129612.5434398.2715221.1224922.90829.2056391.2033358.5538443.9618967.1320496.134575.2120228.44万元附图1